Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Does the flu scare you?

The source of the virus reminds me of the Black Swan theory by Nicholas Taleb. A Black Swan is defined as an event which is unpredictable but once it breaks out its consequences are massive.

Experts say up to 30 million people could die if a pandemic breaks out. The economic loss is massive. People fear to go out, buy less and the economy collapses. People order food supplies from home and spray the bags before they take them inside. All life moves online because the virus can't yet transmit through the PC no matter how many peer to peer connections are open or illegal downloads are made. But what if the virus is that of a Black Swan, what if it mutates and starts spreading over the internet all of a sudden? What do you do Then?? Why are you still reading this?

http://www.thinkaloo.com

No comments: